今天看了一条娱乐新闻，里面说到“好莱屋”的著名导演乔治*卢卡斯在忙
于拍摄新影片，片中的内容和他的成名作一样。都是关于星球大战一类
的题材。从它的内容我们就可以想象得到，其中的电脑特技效果肯定占
到了其中最主要的位置。令人最吃惊的是：他这次在影片的拍摄中没有
使用常规的135胶片，而在全片的拍摄中都使用了全新概念的电子摄影
系统，乔治*卢卡斯本人认为：“电子摄影系统在性能上已不低于传统
的135拍摄系统，虽然暂时来讲它在画质上并没有高出135胶片多少，但
在影片的冲印成本上已比传技术节省了许多！”为了配合数码电影技术
的到来，在美国的多家影院已开始了对放映设备的安装改造，因为这种
电子摄影系统只有在专用的数字显像屏幕上才能达到更佳的影像效果！

我们知道，135相机的产生和发展都与135电影技术的发展是密切相关的，
而现在的电影技术正在向数码方向进行根本上的战略转移，在可以预见的未
来，电子摄影系统会在电影业中一统天下！而我们手上的135相机，135
胶片就会失去一个坚强的同盟者。

135的前路究竟何去何从？

怕啥？到是会有办法的！

电影那点分辨率，连一百万像素都不到，本来就没有必要使用 135 胶片的。

但是相机却恰恰相反，两千万像素也未必够用。

电影那点分辨率，连一百万像素都不到，本来就没有必要使用 135 胶片的。

但是相机却恰恰相反，两千万像素也未必够用。

电影那点分辨率，连一百万像素都不到，本来就没有必要使用 135 胶片的。

但是相机却恰恰相反，两千万像素也未必够用。

赞同看片说话的意见：

楼主有病啊？ 35毫米电影的生命力还很强呢！ 现在的数码电影放映也就达到16毫米的水平！ 而且你看看现在16毫米的拷贝还是广大不发达地区的抢手货，更别说质量很高的35毫米胶片！ 电影靠的是内容取胜的，现在为了玩特技，玩虚拟，才不得不改数码的，因为方便快捷，我想有些导演可能会用便宜的DV，却不会舍弃胶片，因为这些费用和数码电影制作比起来实在是太少了。

GDXGH说的好.
以辫子作比喻,却又说的妙.
我等笑看(21世纪)摄影领域的"辛亥革命"吧.

每当一个重大的※※变革即将到来之时，难免有一些恋旧的情结，很难接受超过祖宗辉煌岁月的现实。但愿我们都能成为伟大变革的促进者和支持者，不做前清遗老，也不必留恋小脚和辫子，毕竟博物馆里的青铜器也是我们祖先留下的宝贵※※遗产。

楼主有病啊？ 35毫米电影的生命力还很强呢！ 现在的数码电影放映也就达到16毫米的水平！ 而且你看看现在16毫米的拷贝还是广大不发达地区的抢手货，更别说质量很高的35毫米胶片！ 电影靠的是内容取胜的，现在为了玩特技，玩虚拟，才不得不改数码的，因为方便快捷，我想有些导演可能会用便宜的DV，却不会舍弃胶片，因为这些费用和数码电影制作比起来实在是太少了。

这就是竞争吗,总有一个会胜出.
胜出者一定是主流(大众)市场拥护者,它会带来品质,便利,价格的最好结合.

谁能跟卢卡斯比，他的投资回报率太高了，不是我们草民比的

呵呵，这也未必是坏事。
传统机的结果是：及时性差---冲洗后方能显影像
数码机的结果是：及时性强---随拍随发即显
两者的比较---各有优势
传统的135只要菲林厂家还在生产菲林，就不会淘汰。

担心个鸟，胶片在中国市场还没开发呢，只有中国能救菲林，它是菲林的大救星。

大哥们今天担心135被灭了，明天担心负片被革命啦，其实还不是担心手里头那点135器材不值钱啦。
120的用户们就不担心这个.

http://www_infotrends-rgi_com/press/2003062514600.html

Contact: Kristy Holch
Phone: 781-792-0101
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
7 AM EDT, June 25, 2003

Digital Cameras Will Nearly Replace Film Cameras by 2008, According to New Report by InfoTrends Research Group

(Norwell, MA) June 25, 2003___InfoTrends Research Group’s latest forecast of consumer digital cameras in North America shows that unit sales of digital cameras will have nearly replaced sales of reloadable film cameras, not including single-use cameras, by 2008.  Most consumers will purchase digital cameras rather than reloadable film cameras in 2008, because consumer photographic services will center on the digital camera customer, and consumers’ image capture needs will be met by digital cameras.  Additionally, within the five-year forecast, digital camera vendors are expected to deliver sub-$1,000 amateur digital SLRs that support interchangeable lenses, which will also cut into film camera sales. While single-use film cameras will remain popular, single-use digital cameras will be entering the market as well.

“The consumer digital camera market has made steady progress since the first models were introduced in the mid-90s, but the consumer photographic industry is just beginning to feel the impact of the transition to digital,” said Michelle Slaughter, director of InfoTrends’ Digital Photography Trends service. “The shift to digital photography will be nearly complete by 2008 due to advancing consumer adoption of a wide range of consumer digital imaging solutions, including home photo printing, retail digital photofinishing services, online photo services, TV-based imaging products and services, and wireless imaging.”

Digital camera unit sales are forecast to reach 14.3 million units in 2003. Three-megapixel models are expected to capture nearly 50% of unit sales, as they become the new entry-level resolution for consumer digital cameras due to low starting price points and a broad product selection.  

Digital cameras are being made more affordable by the fierce competitiveness in the market.  The top five players – Sony, Olympus, Canon, Kodak, and Fuji – continue to increase marketing efforts to strengthen their positions in the market. Other vendors, including Nikon and HP, are seeking to move up in the rankings.  

InfoTrends’ new forecast report entitled 2003 Consumer Digital Camera Forecast, North America is available immediately.  The forecast provides a five-year forecast that is segmented by resolution and price. It discusses the impact that digital technology will have on the film camera market, provides vendor market shares and profiles, and offers insight about ongoing market issues and trends.

CONTACT: Kristy Holch, Group Director, InfoTrends Research Group, Inc., tel. 781-792-0101, fax 781-871-3861, 600 Cordwainer Drive, Norwell, MA 02061, kholch@infotrends-rgi.com.

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